The Transcript 08.03.20

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Succinct Summary: There were a lot of major data points about the economy last week but the biggest news of all seemed to be just how well tech companies did despite the massive economic dislocation.  In a quarter where GDP fell at a 33% annualized rate, Apple managed to grow revenue by 11%!  Stimulus probably played some role in tech companies' strong performance, but beyond the stimulus is the fact that COVID has pushed everyone to spend even more time at home and on the internet.  The behavioral shifts appear to be long-lasting too.  20 years after the dot com bubble, the internet is still not done reshaping society. Editor's Request: This weekly newsletter is made possible by donations from our readers. If you like what you are reading, click here to donate (Our suggested donation: $10 per month). Help us keep The Transcript going.

The Transcript 04.27.20

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Succinct Summary: The decline in economic activity has been huge and the recovery may take longer than expected.  However, bulls are betting on massive stimulus in an environment that was already highly liquid prior to the Covid crisis.  Consumers are itching to get back to normal and some hard hit industries are seeing stabilizing trends.  But the economy is subject to the machinations of non-economic forces: governments and a poorly understood disease. Editor's Request: This weekly newsletter is made possible by donations from our readers. If you like what you are reading, click here to donate (Our suggested donation: $10 per month). Help us keep The Transcript going.