Succinct Summary: Demand continues to bounce back but there are signs that a second wave of Covid may be bubbling up. Editor's Request: This weekly newsletter is made possible by donations from our readers. If you like what you are reading, click here to donate (Our suggested donation: $10 per month). Help us keep The Transcript going.
A Personal Note: A lot has happened in the last two weeks we have been away. We start on a very positive note—warm congratulations to my co-author Scott Krisiloff and his wife on the birth of their beautiful twins this past week. On a different note, the challenge of racism has come to the forefront of global news. This week, we have a special section on quotes on the reactions from corporate management teams on the issued of racism. The bottom line is that we have a problem that needs fixing. I have also written a personal article about my experience of racism in Scandinavia. - Erick Mokaya Succinct Summary: There are some glimmers of hope across such industries like airlines, travel and retail as demand picks up from the April lows. We are, however, being cautioned about being too excited and urged to be cautious. All in all, there is significant pent-up demand.
Succinct Summary: Companies are assessing the impact of the Coronavirus and the outlook so far is not good. There is real worry that the slowdown in China could result in a global slowdown.
Succinct Summary: The consumer continues to show strength with higher holiday spending. Business spending isn't quite as strong though but companies, especially small businesses, are optimistic. As such, most CEOs don't expect a recession in 2020. Historically, presidential election years are usually good for the stock market.
Succinct Summary: The economic expansion is now in its 11th year. The US consumer remains strong but business investment has been weak. A stat on the real effect of the trade war: Samsonite has taken its supply chain from 90% China production to 67 %, and is intent on reducing it further to 50%. Meanwhile, air flights and India are the final frontiers of the internet.